Monday’s PM Forecast Update 6/5

Update- 8:00pm:   
The severe weather risk is over this evening. Thunderstorms will continue to fizzle out and rain chances will taper off too. By tomorrow, shower & thunderstorm chances return. However, storms will not pick up as much as they did today. More of the state can expect some much needed rain, but not enough to get anyone out of a drought. 

No changes for the rest of the forecast. 
From the KX Storm Center:    Severe Weather AWARE.

A low pressure system & cold front are over Eastern Montana and slowly moving East. This system is bringing scattered rain with developing thunderstorms, to affected areas. So far today, it has been sunny with dew points in the 40s & 50s. This means that there is noticeable humidity over North Dakota. The low pressure system & front to our west are not very strong. That being said, there is a low (marginal) risk for severe weather for Western & parts of Central ND. This is a Severe Weather Aware day. So, make sure you stay tuned to KX News on air & on line. We will let you know if any thunderstorms become severe, where they are headed and what type of impacts to expected. 
This system is slowly moving out of MT and into Western, ND. It will move across the state tonight & tomorrow. This means that showers & thunderstorms are expected with rain chances ending Tuesday evening. There will be a break in rain & thunderstorms tonight. After the sun sets (9-10pm) activity will calm down until tomorrow. Through the midday & afternoon hours, showers & thunderstorms will develop again. Tomorrow’s thunderstorms will not be as strong. Nevertheless, we are looking at a 2-day event with a low risk (marginal) of thunderstorms becoming sever. 
A marginal risk for severe weather means that 
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Severe storms will be limited in duration, coverage & intensity. Potential impacts: Winds 40-60mph. Hail up to 1″. Little to no risk for tornado development.

The next few days will bring more changes. It will be breezy through tomorrow with moderate to strong winds, becoming gusty at times. Much needed rain fall is expected today & Tuesday, but significant rainfall totals will not be widespread. Temperatures will be slightly above average with daytime highs in the upper 70s & lower to mid 80s. Wednesday, Thursday & Friday will bring another change up. Winds will calm down with more sunshine as a ridge of high pressure slowly crosses the Northern Plains. This means that temps will climb through the 80s and to either side of 90 by Friday & Saturday. Our next chance for rain will be this weekend with winds picking up a bit, again. 
All together, through the next 7days it will be breezy at times with temps staying near & above average for this time of the year. There are only a couple of chances for rain and we are not looking at high rainfall totals.
Tonight, rain chances will taper off with thunderstorms fizzling out before Midnight. Lows in the 50s & 60s with a SE/West wind calming to 2-12mph. 40% chance of rain & a Marginal risk for severe weather.
Tuesday, partly to mostly cloudy with in & out clouds and rain/storms redeveloping after Noon. It will not be as warm and it will be a breezy for some. Highs in the 70s & 80s with a NW wind 5-15mph G20-25. 30% chance of rain.
Tuesday night, mostly clear and slightly cooler. Lows in the 40s & 50s with a NW/North wind 2-10mph.
Wednesday, plenty of sunshine with temps near & above average and not as humid. Highs in the 70s & 80s with a NW wind 5-15mph.
Wednesday night, mostly clear and temps near average. Lows in the 50s with a few 40s and a Light NE wind, 2-10mph.

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