Two almanacs, two different winter forecasts

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Winter is going to be wet and cold!

No, winter is going to be warm and dry!

Well, which is it?

That’s the conundrum facing reader’s of the Farmer’s Almanac — there are at least two versions of the popular, annual publication.

And both feature two very different forecasts for the coming winter season.

According to The 2019 Old Farmer’s Almanac, “This winter, we expect to see above-normal temperatures almost everywhere in the United States, except in the Southwest, where we’re predicting a colder-than-normal season. Our milder-than-normal forecast is due to a decrease in solar activity and the expected arrival of a weak El Niño, which will prevent cold air masses from lingering in the North.”

Not a bad forecast — kind of reassuring, really. Winter won’t be so bad in North Dakota or the Midwest.

But wait…

The 2019 Farmer’s Almanac sees things a bit differently.

That publication is predicting, “Colder-than-normal… from the Continental Divide east through the Appalachians,” according to the prognostication.

“The real teeth-chattering arrives mid-February especially in the following zones:  Northeast/New England, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southeast (yes, even the Southeast will be in the chill zone!). During this time, an Arctic cold front will produce blustery and bitter winds, a sharp drop in temperature, and widespread snow showers/squall activity along and ahead of the frontal line.”

So, North Dakota faces “teeth-chattering cold, plentiful snow.”

Better have the snowblower handy.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac, founded in 1792, relies on a secret formula devised by the founder of the Almanac, Robert B. Thomas, in 1792.

Thomas believed that weather on Earth was influenced by sunspots, which are magnetic storms on the surface of the Sun.

Over the years, the formula has been refined with technology and modern scientific calculations. They use solar science, climatology and meteorology to predict weather trends by “comparing solar patterns and historical weather conditions with solar activity.”

The Farmer’s Almanac, founded in 1818, uses a specific set of rules developed back in 1818 by David Young, the Almanac’s first editor. The rules have been altered slightly and turned into a formula that is both mathematical and astronomical.

“The formula takes things like sunspot activity, tidal action of the Moon, the position of the planets, and a variety of other factors into consideration,” the publication notes.

So, who is right?

Both publications claim to accurate with their past forecasts and, therefore, assure readers that was the see coming will, in fact, arrive.

Only time and Mother Nature will tell which almanac turns out to be on the mark.

You can read The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecasts here.

You can read The Farmer’s Almanac forecasts here.

 

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