A Break-Down Of The Severe Potential This Evening



More storms are forming from south of New Town towards Elgin. These storms will grow and could approach severe levels at times as they head east over the next couple of hours.


We continue to monitor the development of thunderstorms this afternoon, some of which are now forming in northeast Montana. With growing instability, there remains a severe threat through late this evening. Initially large hail will be the main risk, especially with any storm that can remain isolated. As storms congeal, strong winds will become the main threat.

A few showers and small thunderstorms will develop this afternoon with the daytime heating. Afternoon highs will top out on the low to mid-80s. With the dew points in the 50s and 60s, it may feel a little muggy. Showers and storms will be scattered throughout the overnight.

Severe Timing: Storms could become severe by late afternoon but the more likely scenario is for the evening storms to become severe. Storms could stay strong to severe through around midnight.

Threats: Wind and hail are the biggest threats. Hail could be up to an inch and gusts could be around 60 mph with isolated stronger gusts possible. A few of the storms could mesh together to make one larger storm. In this case, the primary threat would be wind. The tornado threat is low at this time but always monitored.

KX Storm Team Radar: https://www.kxnet.com/weather/

KX Storm Team App: https://www.kxnet.com/news-app/

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