Tuesday’s PM Forecast Update 10/17

Weather Blog

From the KX Storm Center:
It is sunny, windy and dry again today. Temps are running 15-25 degrees above average (avg Lows-30s/ Highs 50s) for this time of the year and relative humidity (RH) values are very low, in the teens & 20s (percent). With warm temps and low RH, leaves and other fuels will continue to dry out even faster. Add in continued strong winds and fire weather conditions are near critical today. Several counties have a High fire danger rating, across the state. The good news is that fuels are still green. So, there is a lot more drying that needs to occur before it gets bad. At this time, there is no Fire Weather Headline for today. However, several of the counties in a High fire danger rating also have burn bans & restrictions. Some of the bans/restrictions are contingent upon a High rating. So… If you have to control burn today, make sure that it is allowed in your county. 
A few changes are forecast through the next couple of days. The one constant is that it will be rain-free until the weekend. A dry, cold front will move through the Dakotas tonight & tomorrow. Little to no rain is forecast with this one. However, it will be a strong front. The biggest changes include winds becoming very strong and swinging around to the West & cooler temps for a day. After Midnight, winds will increase to 15-25mph G35+. There is already a series of Wind Advisories in effect for our Northern Region. There is a good chance that these weather alerts will be extended South. Some of us can even expect gusts to get as high as 45-50mph and that is in range of meeting the criteria for a High Wind Warning. None have been issued yet. But, it is still possible for tomorrow. Add in continued dry conditions with RH of 20-25% and if any fires start, they could spread rapidly. There is a Fire Weather Watch for much of our Northern Region, down to I-94 (East & North of the Missouri River) extending East into MN.
The latter half of the work week will not be as windy with wind speeds falling to 5-15mph G20. However, it will still be dry and temps will climb back into the 70s and well above average for this time of the year. 
Our next chance of rain will hold off until this weekend with scattered showers. By then, our temps will fall back into a more seasonable range. This weekend system will not bring high rainfall totals, but temps ill fall back into the 30s for lows and 50s/60s for highs. 

Tonight, mostly clear and a little cool with a cold front moving through and increasing winds after Midnight. Lows in the 40s with a few 30s (West) a few 50s (East). Winds will be SW/NW 5-15mph G20, increasing to 15-25mph G35.

Wednesday, mostly sunny and very windy with in & out clouds. Highs in the 50s & 60s with a NW/West wind 15-25mph G35-45+. A series of weather alerts, including Wind Advisories & a Fire Weather Watch are in effect.

Wednesday night, mostly clear and a little chilly with calming winds. Lows in the 40s & 30s with a South/SW wind 2-12mph G20.

Thursday will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy, warmer and not as windy. Hgihs in the 70s with a few 80s and a SW wind 5-15mph.

Thursday night, mostly clear and not as chilly. Lows in the 40s with a South winid 5-15mph.

Website Click Here.

Burn Restrictions & Bans Click Here.

~Dorrell Wenninger – KX Storm Team

Copyright 2021 Nexstar Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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