From the KX Storm Center:
There is a broad range of temperatures, across the state today. As of this afternoon, Grand Forks & Fargo were -4 and ranged through the teens and well into the 20s in Western ND. As of 4:21pm CST, there was a 31 degree spread & Dickinson was the warm spot on the map.
A stationary front is stretched North to South over the Dakotas and into NE Montana. On the west side of this boundary there are much warmer temps, more sunshine & a ridge of high pressure. East of this front, it is much colder with another ridge of high pressure stretched across the Midwest & as far south as the Lower Mississippi River Valley. The positioning of these two ridges of high pressure puts our stationary front between a rock and a hard place. It will continue to meander over the Dakotas until this weekend. Finally by Saturday, it will transition to a warm front and move East. This means a big warm up is on the way and daytime high temps will climb above freezing for most of Western & Central ND.
Our warm-up will not last long and through the beginning of the work week temps will start to fall with another chance for snow during the latter half of the 7day Outlook.
The biggest headlines in our forecast revolve around temperatures. Unfortunately, highs will only stay above freezing for 1 day with our temps topping out Saturday. It will be a little breezy at times. We are not looking at any severe or extreme winter weather through the rest of the work week & this weekend. Snow chances will be slightly up tomorrow & Friday, but we are not looking at high accumulations. If any, it will mostly be scattered flurries/light snow that will stay under 1″ for those affected. Some of our long range models are suggesting higher snow chances by Tuesday & Wednesday of next week. But this output has been pushed back from yesterday. So, I would like to see more model runs before jumping on board.
Tonight will be mostly cloudy with some clearing & temps falling through the teens and into the single digits. A few areas may drop a little more, but sub-zero temps are not for everyone. There will be a SE wind 2-10mph & becoming light. Chills in the single digits & below zero.
Thursday will be partly to mostly cloudy with some clearing and a few areas of light snow/flurries. Highs in the teens & 20s with a more sunshine & a few 30s possible for parts of Western ND. West/SE wind 2-10mph and chills in the single digits/teens. Little to no accumulation is expected.
Thursday night will be partly cloudy with areas of light snow possible. Lows in the single digits & below zero (East) with a South/SE wind 2-10mph. Chills below zero.
Friday will be partly cloudy with more clearing for some, through the day. Highs in the teens & 20s (near/below zero East) with a South/West wind 5-15mph gusting up to 20mph.
Friday night will be partly cloudy with winds picking up. Lows in the single digits & teens with a South/West wind 10-20mph gusting near 30mph with chills near/below zero.
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